Showing posts with label credit crunch. Show all posts
Showing posts with label credit crunch. Show all posts

Friday, 6 March 2009

The credit crunch is half our fault

Here’s something we can’t even blame the politicians for all of. And they won’t mention it if we won’t.

The elephant in the room is personal fecklessness: ours.
Ours -to some value of ‘ours.’

I know something about this because for five glorious years I worked as a financial advisor for -let’s call them Pearle, Patience and Greene-Knight. I sold life insurance and car and property insurance. I sold pensions and mortgages and mortgage cover and endowments and income protection products. Or at least, I tried to sell them.

My customers were Middle England incarnate. They were retired couples and widows; suburban housewives (steady boy, steady!) and decorators and office clerks; farm labourers and farmers and lorry drivers, doctors and teachers and industrial process workers and even Castle City’s self-made scrap yard millionaires from the, ahem, mobile home-owning community in their supermarket-size ranch-style houses on the edge of the industrial estate.

They were all good, imaginative people – they all had money – they had earned it or were earning it or their late husbands had earned it and left it to them, and they all knew that - barring illness or accident - they had futures in which money should play a part.
And so they planned. The private sector working ones would put money into private pensions – small jumps of twenty or thirty pounds a month extra each year, or lump-sum wedges for a part-time novelist lady, or even occasional large monthly hikes.
The retired and the widowed would invest into investment bonds and PEPs and TESSAs and unit trusts to make the most of their cash.

And the married couples would remortgage and swop insurances and mortgage protection
For some reason I was rarely able to sell a mortgage or its associated insurance products if I was trying to compete with a nowhere little building society called Northern Rock. Their interest rates were just too good. Their business volume must have been pretty high too because their property insurance, repayment protection and installment protection was also hugely competitive. How can you do that legally in a free competitive market? Oh.

Some of them were only customers because my predecessors had sold savings endowments or burial plans to them – or likely to their grandparents, parents or aunts and uncles to give them a bit of a financial boost when they hit 18 or 21. These were people of previous, thriftier generations – the respectable working class who didn’t want to be buried in paupers’ graves, or who didn’t want their adult children to be penniless when they left home and started out in the world. So the saving and insuring habit had been taught to them from birth.
The younger ones had grown up in the bracing air of freedom and responsibility that so typified life in Thatcher’s Britain.

So why were some of them also so bloody feckless?

The Immortals.

A typical one was the (usually) husband -or increasingly often by then the ‘partner’ - who just would not buy life insurance to cover his widow or ‘widow’ to replace his income on death so as to provide for (usually) his children. We’re talking about men earning 18 to 25 thousand pounds per year in the middle nineteen-nineties whose wives were bringing in 6 to 10 thousand for part-time work. They’d have hundreds of pounds a month uncommitted income with which to enjoy pretty good lives in their comfortable, gadget-filled homes with two or more nice cars on the drive and a similar number of weeks away in the Med.
But fork out a measly 10 to 15 pounds per month for a lump sum whose investment income should replace their earnings [once the insured mortgage was of course paid off] so their widows didn’t have to scrabble for a full-time job and spend half her wages on childcare now she can’t pick the kids up from school at 3.30?
No way Jose. ‘I’m not going to die: we live till an old age in my family.’ Or ‘She can remarry if she needs more money.’
That’s how deep many husbands’ love for their wives and kids can be; rather less than a Kentucky Fried Chicken family bucket with chips, Coke and an evening’s video hire.
Most such men I met didn’t see any problem with tucking away a further fifty quid a month each year for their own retirement (‘Otherwise you’ll retire on less than a City Council office cleaner gets, see?’). But betting the cost of one modest Friday night at home with wife and family sat on the sofa in front of the telly eating saturated fats per month against leaving an exhausted and mourning widow to chase around seeking work within a month or so of their funeral and trying to get her recently retired parents to collect their children and look after them until she got home at five-thirty or six-thirty, and her being able to afford no holidays with those kids that aren’t away-day breaks until she can fit a new husband into her exhausting schedule: not a good bet. Nothing in it for me, yeah?

This is who our libertarian pals want to build a country of rugged individualists on?

The Damned.

Admittedly, they tended to smoke and drive smaller but still expensive cars that my insured-and-mortgaged-and-pensioned income could never even dream of, but still these people had good lives and their children never wanted for bmx and visits to the amusement parks and foreign package holidays. And dear old Dad in his late twenties or early thirties would say; ‘Well, Mister Northwester, [PP & G-K still had quite a deferential clientele, in places] I know when I retire there won’t be an old age pension, but we’re already putting thirty pounds a month in, and life is getting more expensive, so maybe we’ll put some more money in next year…’ In cases like this, I often wondered how my predecessors had managed to prize the princely sum of thirty quid every single month out of their horny handed sons of labour hands in the first place. Perhaps they were more persuasive or ruthless than me.
‘But,’ I would explain, ’Look how much you’re spending now, and what you’ll need to spend when you retire,’ and we’d be off: counting the utilities bill and food and holidays and travel and (taking the mortgage off but adding the tiny projected State pension just in case it will be paid – because they never truly believed there’d be no State pension; not down in the wallet where it really counted).
And after this process we’d write down a monetarised version of their hopes for a secure and happy retirement in pounds per week to spend on one side of a piece of paper and on the other side we’d have the State pension and the best-case private pension projection added together…and they’d look at the hundred-plus pound per week shortfall between the two.
And they we’d look at the hundred pounds per week or so of their current earnings that they couldn’t account for and therefore were theoretically free to fund their future security and I’d ask for half of it to more nearly fill the pension gap and they’d say:
‘North’ [they tended to get all chummy and informal when trying to avoid investing their hard-earned pocket money], ‘my Dad died at sixty and the missus’ Mum died and sixty-two, and so we’re not going to need a pension for long anyway.’
I’d look at their weekly committed expenditure and their higher uncommitted income, and I’d look at the nice new telly and the photos of them at Alicante and the cute little plastic motorbikes for the kids in the yard and I’d try, I’d really try, to make the point which was in front of their noses; that as long as they stayed home all the time, didn’t run a car, and never replaced their TV set, they could just about afford to pay the Council Tax and eat sparingly and never travel to visit their daughter when she eventually had children when they retired.

Unless they dipped into that hundred plus pounds per week of uncommitted money. Yeah, right.

But Dad died at sixty so they were The Damned and Christmas was coming from the catalogues stacked up by the new sofa up so maybe next year, and in the meantime can you shave five pounds a month off my car insurance?…

The Philosophers.

The teachers were the worst. You always had the figures in huge detail available for you in neat files and they’d listen attentively and answer questions about hoped-for retirement income (about which they were adamant: they were NOT going to have a lower standard of living when at last they retired) and their pension projections were there and we’d look at the difference and we’d look at their expenditure and the several hundred pounds a month they did not commit already to mortgage, bills, savings and holidays and I’d ask for a hundred pound a month each, and…they’d go all shifty and that was the end of it for eye contact, and they’d ‘think about it.’

They never phone, do they? They tell you that they like you and respect you, they spend hours of intimate conversation with you, and then you wait and wait for their phone call and they never call. Instead, they’re ’thinking about it.’
Teachers: philosophers to a man.

And these are the prudent ones – the savers, the ones with some idea that they won’t disappear tomorrow, and will still need to eat, and travel and they have done, and continue to do, something about it. I rarely ever met the long-term unemployed whose bad backs and panic attacks had prostrated them [outside the football season and the holiday season of course] since the Miners’ Strike.

This is where our Right-wing conservative or libertarian self-sufficient future is coming from?

So you can say all you like about fat cat greedy bankers and Gordon Brown and his inflationary housing boom (and you’ll be right about all that, of course), but what you’ll be reluctant to mention, and the politicians daren’t mention, though it half lets them off the hook, is that nobody I ever knew held a gun to anyone’s head and said:
’Buy a mortgage you haven’t budgeted for. Borrow money for a 4 by 4 you can’t afford. Cash in the savings that might have tided you over these hard few months and years for a ‘once in a lifetime cruise’ whilst you’re young enough to enjoy it. Buy that pony; you kids are worth it and they won’t need university funding as they’re bright and will win a scholarship for sure.’

Dumb Jon and others preach about the culture wars and how can we hope for anything like a decent, prosperous, law-abiding and recognizable democracy when the BBC and Hollywood portrays every businessman and Western soldier as brutal rapists and koala-killing polluters.

It’s worse than that, Jim.
Even our side’s social and political heartlands have gone fishin’, and they left in the1990s at the latest.

How can anything resembling a conservative or classical liberal government ask such people to vote for them twice after they’ve done anything at all useful to remedy Labour’s depression.

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Sunday, 25 January 2009

Jilted John: Next Verse and Chorus

Hi.


Just a post to check in and reassure my kindly and tolerant readers that I’m still somewhere out there in the blogosphere carrying on Maggie’s Great Work. Way out there, as it happens.


I’m concentrating this week on setting up the directory site wherein will be listed the names and addresses of Britain’s numerous friends of liberty and also of Dorothy.

I’m absolutely not a techie - as Cherry Pie points out in the comments of the previous post - so making Google’s Blogger do a job that I really need a proper website for is going to be a bit tricky.


Next week’s going to be fraught anyway as it’s back to work for me after a blissful week’s holiday with the incomparable Mrs. Northwester. The osteopath has put me on a week-long diet of raw fruit, vegetables, nuts and salad for my back. No grains. No starches. No bread or pizza or potatoes. No cheese or milk or eggs. I’m a vegetarian so I can’t even gulp down bloody chunks of raw squirrel. I expect my posting to get a bit erratic and possibly paranoid.

Bastards.


However, I haven’t written anything rude about the Prime Minister for days and I’m beginning to get the shakes. Also I’m arrogant and greedy enough to dream of putting Ad Sense on this blog one day so I can save up enough cash to buy a mansion and retire to some tropical socialist paradise where land and housing are inexplicably cheap such as Cuba, Zimbabwe or Gordon Brown’s Globally Warm Britain. So I better do a Right-wing rant, and sharpish.


So just this, and then it’s back to the freedom directory for me…


One of the things that moistened the Left’s gussets in anticipation as Day One of the Era of the Blessed Tony approached was that the enlightened new regime would go easy on Third World Debt.


Many of the wise and the good sang Tony’s and Gordon’s praises as the expected day dawned and the burden of the evil banks’ loans and loan repayment schedules would be lifted from the people and from the government leaders’ Swiss accounts.

They never paid heed to the fact (they never seemed to know about it: let alone acknowledged it) that much of this debt came when OPEC quadrupled the price of oil to punish the West for supporting Israel’s self-defensive genocide-avoidance efforts in the Yom Kippur War.


The worldwide depression that followed left less help available for the often venal and viciously oppressive African governments - a great deal of petrodollar loans had been embezzled or spend on armaments because what starving thirsty and malarial Africans really need are spiffy new tanks and helicopters.


So now, irrespective of the history involved and the petty moralising about the rights and wrongs of borrowing money you have little intention of paying back or spending on your people’s welfare, and at the bidding of many, many singers, actors, writers, political activists and other economic experts (plus some actual economists) the West rather than OPEC was to stump up and support lifting mad and bad African kings’*1 debt (but leaving the Latin American and Asian debtor nations in the soup).


African Development Fund *2 and IMF and debts were written off by a generous Gordon Brown and someone called George W Bush who strangely doesn’t seem to have drawn any praise for this act of financial kindliness except from peripheral non-entities who are certainly ultra-Right-wing racists anyway.


Okay, I really feel sorry for the Africans living and dying under the crooks, imbeciles and serial mass-murderers that so many of their countries have for leaders. Maybe this has done a world of good which I would not begrudge to those poor people.



But.

That was 2006. Now here’s the thing. On the Wikipedia page I see, at a quick scan only, of $48,000,000,000 written off.


Now it’s 2009.


My question is about Mister Brown’s high taxing, high-spending, non-government-reforming policies as Chancellor and Prime Minister.


Did the Reichsuberwankenfuhrer ever think that if at any time he felt short of a few billion or trillion that there might have been other financial techniques and policies he might have pursued in relation to - oh, I don’t know - the taxpayers, employers and house-buyers of, say…this country?


Because today we can talk about Third World Debt levels and not refer to anything beyond the shores and borders of Britain.


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*1 The pan-African dialect word for hereditary absolute monarch is spelled ‘President’ in the Latin alphabet.



*2 whose “ sources are mainly contributions and periodic replacements by non-African member states. The fund is usually replenished every three years, unless member states decide otherwise. The total donations, at the end of 1996, amounted to $12.58 billion. The ADF lends at no interest rate, with a service charge of 0.75% per annum, a commitment fee of 0.5%, and a 50-year repayment period including a 10-year grace period. The Tenth United Kingdom replenishment of the ADF was in 2006.”


All together now. Two. Three. Four…. Wait for it.

 

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